US 10-year bonds only

Ten-year US Treasuries, rolled monthly.

What it holds

AssetShare
US 10-year Treasury bonds100%

How it did, 1926-07 to 2026-09

1.6%
Per year after inflation (4.7% before)
5.9%
Volatility
-58%
Worst drop, 1940 to 1981
2.40%
Safe withdrawal rate over 30 years, 3.60% over 20

Best and worst calendar years

BestReturn
1982+43.2%
1985+27.1%
1995+24.4%
1986+24.3%
1970+20.0%
WorstReturn
2022−11.9%
1999−8.7%
1994−7.3%
2009−6.9%
2013−5.9%

Open in the backtest tool Test a withdrawal rate

US dollars, rebalanced yearly, before tax and fund costs. Past results are not a promise about the future, and nothing here is investment advice.