Graham 50/50

The default Benjamin Graham recommended: half stocks, half bonds. Also the mix in Bengen’s 4% rule study.

What it holds

AssetShare
US stocks, whole market50%
US 10-year Treasury bonds50%

How it did, 1926-07 to 2026-09

5.1%
Per year after inflation (8.2% before)
9.6%
Volatility
-37%
Worst drop, 1972 to 1974
3.82%
Safe withdrawal rate over 30 years, 4.57% over 20

Best and worst calendar years

BestReturn
1933+38.6%
1982+33.2%
1995+30.6%
1985+29.7%
1991+24.9%
WorstReturn
1931−21.6%
1937−16.6%
2022−16.1%
1930−12.9%
1974−12.3%

Open in the backtest tool Test a withdrawal rate

US dollars, rebalanced yearly, before tax and fund costs. Past results are not a promise about the future, and nothing here is investment advice.