40/60 stocks and bonds

Cautious balanced mix.

What it holds

AssetShare
US stocks, whole market40%
US 10-year Treasury bonds60%

How it did, 1926-07 to 2026-09

4.5%
Per year after inflation (7.6% before)
8.2%
Volatility
-35%
Worst drop, 1972 to 1981
3.73%
Safe withdrawal rate over 30 years, 4.60% over 20

Best and worst calendar years

BestReturn
1982+35.3%
1933+33.4%
1995+29.3%
1985+29.2%
1991+23.1%
WorstReturn
1931−17.2%
2022−15.3%
1937−12.8%
1930−9.8%
1974−9.1%

Open in the backtest tool Test a withdrawal rate

US dollars, rebalanced yearly, before tax and fund costs. Past results are not a promise about the future, and nothing here is investment advice.